Do you even invest?

Off-topic? You mean on-topic!
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troyguitar
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[user not found] wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 6:56 pm Scratch that, I'm wrong, they aren't using ETFs that do it internally. It's all external. Same end game, different investments. No appreciable impact.
How?

Their analysis shows that they are beating buying and holding the same ETF's that they're bouncing in and out of... Where are they lying?
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[user not found] wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:05 pm
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 6:57 pm

How?

Their analysis shows that they are beating buying and holding the same ETF's that they're bouncing in and out of... Where are they lying?
A traditional investment firm would do the same thing depending on the client and their goals.

Comparison here isn't wealth point versus buying on your own. It's wealth point versus a financial advisor.

I think in many circumstances wealth point would win. In your case, with very very specific very short term goals, you're doing yourself a massive disservice by not talking to someone about it.

Remember, if you retire at 50, you aren't looking to build an account to then draw down for 20 years (which might be a typical investment goal), you're looking to build a self sustaining account to provide INCOME for 40 years. This is vastly different.

You need something that's going to kick off X00,000 of profit annually for it to last your life and really provide for your needs. This is an extremely complex investment goal.

One guy that sucked is just one guy that sucked.
Who do you think will beat these guys and are you willing to bet my life on it? That's what it comes down to... and I trust computers more than humans at this point. The computer won't forget to check this shit all day every day, the human can ignore it for months at a time - especially if I ignore the accounts like you suggest I do. If I'm not on top of it every day, how do I know the advisor is doing his job?

Even if I AM on top of it every day, how do I know the advisor is doing as well as possible unless I become an expert myself? At which point I might as well do it myself. :iono:
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We also don't need infinite retirement income. At some point the wife's parents will die and we'll be able to :melonwax: for another 20 years on that, if not indefinitely depending on how it all goes down. We need enough to get from 2035 to, say 2055 at the latest.
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[user not found] wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:17 pm
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:13 pm

Who do you think will beat these guys and are you willing to bet my life on it? That's what it comes down to... and I trust computers more than humans at this point. The computer won't forget to check this shit all day every day, the human can ignore it for months at a time - especially if I ignore the accounts like you suggest I do. If I'm not on top of it every day, how do I know the advisor is doing his job?

Even if I AM on top of it every day, how do I know the advisor is doing as well as possible unless I become an expert myself? At which point I might as well do it myself. :iono:
I truly wish you the best of luck but a goal without a strategy is better known as a wish. Not trusting experts generally isn't a winning strategy but I hope (really) you're the exception.
What's not "expert" about the Wealthfront strategy?
Last edited by troyguitar on Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:17 pm We also don't need infinite retirement income. At some point the wife's parents will die and we'll be able to :melonwax: for another 20 years on that, if not indefinitely depending on how it all goes down. We need enough to get from 2035 to, say 2055 at the latest.
:melonwax: needs to become a thing.
4zilch wrote: Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:46 am I'm a fucking failure.
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Hey, there's always BTC.
4zilch wrote: Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:46 am I'm a fucking failure.
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[user not found] wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 5:41 pm
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 5:28 pm We're now down $137.37.

Investing is so much fun.
When we said don't look for six months, we meant it.
Ignore [user not found] Troy, I am enjoying the daily update.
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Melon wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:20 pm Hey, there's always BTC.
You joke, but if I'd listened to my friends 4 years ago and put even a few grand into that shit... we'd be good to go.

I only listen to people who are wrong :doe:
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troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:18 pm
[user not found] wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:17 pm

I truly wish you the best of luck but a goal without a strategy is better known as a wish. Not trusting experts generally isn't a winning strategy but I hope (really) you're the exception.
What's not "expert" about the Wealthfront strategy?
Are they the ones that haven't turned a profit for you in 6 years? Or, are they the ones you just invested with?
4zilch wrote: Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:46 am I'm a fucking failure.
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Melon wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:21 pm
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:18 pm

What's not "expert" about the Wealthfront strategy?
Are they the ones that haven't turned a profit for you in 6 years? Or, are they the ones you just invested with?
This is the new guys/robots.
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troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:21 pm
Melon wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:20 pm Hey, there's always BTC.
You joke, but if I'd listened to my friends 4 years ago and put even a few grand into that shit... we'd be good to go.

I only listen to people who are wrong :doe:
I made off like a banding, from November, until just after the December crash. But, I put it in the 'casino winnings' category, I got lucky.
4zilch wrote: Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:46 am I'm a fucking failure.
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The problem I'm trying to solve is how do I successfully employ some reverse reverse reverse reverse reverse reverse psychology on my life... because everything that I think will turn out well ends up sucking, but if I try to do things that I think will suck then :jesus: sees what I'm doing and makes that suck too, so I need to do some kind of multiple fake-out on that fucker.
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troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:22 pm
Melon wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:21 pm

Are they the ones that haven't turned a profit for you in 6 years? Or, are they the ones you just invested with?
This is the new guys/robots.
:word:

Give it time. If they don't deliver on pace with the economy, dump em.
4zilch wrote: Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:46 am I'm a fucking failure.
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troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:17 pm We also don't need infinite retirement income. At some point the wife's parents will die and we'll be able to :melonwax: for another 20 years on that, if not indefinitely depending on how it all goes down. We need enough to get from 2035 to, say 2055 at the latest.
I dunno man. What if your wife tells them to sod off and they give all their money to Greenpeace?
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troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:23 pm The problem I'm trying to solve is how do I successfully employ some reverse reverse reverse reverse reverse reverse psychology on my life... because everything that I think will turn out well ends up sucking, but if I try to do things that I think will suck then :jesus: sees what I'm doing and makes that suck too, so I need to do some kind of multiple fake-out on that fucker.
Investing and life is about making the most of bad situations. During a downturn, move things around, and it's usually all up from there.
4zilch wrote: Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:46 am I'm a fucking failure.
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[user not found] wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:24 pm FWIW, Troy - to retire at 50...

I assume that you'll need 100k a year
I assume you'll need some reinvestment every year as well to keep up with inflation.
I assume you'll want fairly safe investments to not destroy your principal.

With those assumptions I figure you'll need $5,000,000 earning you 3.5% annually.

Your current investment strategy had you on track for somewhere between $675,000 and $750,000.

You aren't being reasonable in your expectations which is one of the reasons you need a professional.

Good fucking luck, man. You're gonna need it.

Now to retire at 65, your plan is :notbad:
We only need to get from 50 to 65-70, at which point a golden parachute opens up. 2 million would be enough, maybe less. We have 401k and IRA accounts in addition to this stuff.
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[user not found] wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:26 pm
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:25 pm

We only need to get from 50 to 65-70, at which point a golden parachute opens up. 2 million would be enough, maybe less.
If you think 2 million will be enough, plan for 2.5
See edit. We max out her 401k and have IRA stuff in addition to this.
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[user not found] wrote:
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:27 pm See edit. We max out her 401k and have IRA stuff in addition to this.
All the more reason you need a strategy.
You mean pay someone we don't know to change our strategy? We have a strategy.
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Melon wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:19 pm
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:17 pm We also don't need infinite retirement income. At some point the wife's parents will die and we'll be able to :melonwax: for another 20 years on that, if not indefinitely depending on how it all goes down. We need enough to get from 2035 to, say 2055 at the latest.
:melonwax: needs to become a thing.
:dat:
As the only published author in a well-known motorcycle publication in the room...
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[user not found] wrote:
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:51 pm You mean pay someone we don't know to change our strategy? We have a strategy.
Which is...
Max 401k and roth IRA, minimize spending, pile everything else into this wealthfront shit. If it ever goes up instead of down, maybe eventually retire...
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troyguitar wrote:The problem I'm trying to solve is how do I successfully employ some reverse reverse reverse reverse reverse reverse psychology on my life... because everything that I think will turn out well ends up sucking, but if I try to do things that I think will suck then :jesus: sees what I'm doing and makes that suck too, so I need to do some kind of multiple fake-out on that fucker.
I'm hiring these fuckers for reference, hopefully things go well. :iono:

https://m.facebook.com/holliswealth/?fref=ts

https://www.holliswealth.com/global/whoweare
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[user not found] wrote:
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 8:03 pm Max 401k and roth IRA, minimize spending, pile everything else into this wealthfront shit. If it ever goes up instead of down, maybe eventually retire...
Those are tasks, not a strategy.
Dafuq is a strategy if not a set of related tasks designed to achieve a goal?
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[user not found] wrote:
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 9:39 pm Dafuq is a strategy if not a set of related tasks designed to achieve a goal?
A strategy drives tasks not the other way around.

Goal > retire at 50
Strategy > the formula of how to do it
Tasks > those things that make up the formula

This is why you need a pro
:wtf:

The details are the hard part. The strategy as you call it is "Save a bunch of money"... That's it.

We can't know what any of the markets, including the job market, will do. Therefore we can't be more specific than this.
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[user not found] wrote:
troyguitar wrote: Tue Feb 13, 2018 9:49 pm :wtf:

The details are the hard part. The strategy as you call it is "Save a bunch of money"... That's it.

We can't know what any of the markets, including the job market, will do. Therefore we can't be more specific than this.
That is not a strategy that's a goal. You need a pro.

Good reference of the differences: https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikalbelic ... 98b3a4c796
:wtf:

Goal: Retire as early as is reasonable

Strategy: Gather as much money as possible
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